THE BAILOUT
September 28th, 2008
Here is the full text of the bill. Here are some key elements:
- Secretary of the Treasury is the key decisionmaker and has great latitude
- The scope of securities purchases can go beyond just mortgage-related securities
- Can hold or sell securities based on what is best for the taxpayer
- Auctions will likely be an important mechanism
- Initial amount is $250 billion outstanding without additional Congressional ok, $700 billion overall
- No sales of troubled securities to TARP (Troubled Asset Relief Program) at prices higher than price when purchased by a Financial Institution
- Treasury may guarantee securities and collect premiums for doing so
- Oversight Board shall consist of Fed Chairman, Director of FHFA, SEC Chairman and HUD Secretary
- Semi-annual report to Congress
- Will maximize assistance to homeowners and direct servicers in such a manner
- Limits on executive pay while Treasury owns securities purchased from a specific institution
- Treasury can own stock or warrants in a financial institutions at his discretion if an auction is not feasible
- All trades shall be available on the internet
- SEC can suspend "mark to market" accounting
- "Recoupment Tax" in five years if taxpayers have lost money on this program
So what does this mean? Well, assuming the bill on-line now is the one that is voted upon? It means the following:
- The Secretary of the Treasury has immense power and discretion over how this works
- There will be significant foreclosure mitigation efforts designed to keep people in their homes
- This will be a reasonably transparent process
- This may not be the last step the Treasury takes to combat the credit crisis
- This will probably slow down and stretch out the housing decline
- This should have a significant near-term impact on the credit markets
- This will NOT stop additional bank failures which will be coming
- This will distort the market for mortgage backed securities for years and we will not see that market return soon
The direct impact on Maui real estate?
- This will settle the buyer panic down a little
- Fewer foreclosures
We will continue to think about the impact of this bailout.






